Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 6.041239 6.811080 7.654198 8.648185 9.790635 11.065685 12.600760
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 4.841402 5.833770 7.005333 8.498272 10.361149 12.623224 15.599651
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 4.133011 5.232830 6.606438 8.463782 10.933666 14.138869 18.668100
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 3.612089 4.757394 6.253918 8.377392 11.353090 15.434846 21.562233
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 3.367700 4.594100 6.262702 8.735877 12.371776 17.621720 25.962813
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 3.060666 4.300087 6.044840 8.728620 12.839967 19.046827 29.412541
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 2.789224 4.021958 5.810495 8.654365 13.175667 20.283728 32.711852
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 2.449836 3.608422 5.331513 8.147371 12.764499 20.274166 33.924842
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 2.289387 3.447457 5.214877 8.187483 13.223482 21.716730 37.814833
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 2.200712 3.387343 5.245517 8.462129 14.094051 23.948837 43.447363
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 2.097149 3.293035 5.210239 8.618208 14.770141 25.911632 48.866971
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 1.994785 3.191006 5.151265 8.723567 15.360809 27.781218 54.386235
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 1.885888 3.072478 5.059532 8.771301 15.869361 29.597165 60.187561
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 1.743155 2.885373 4.834524 8.555124 15.852922 30.385335 63.932634
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 1.641339 2.760675 4.707541 8.506392 16.153419 31.845630 69.421340
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 1.543114 2.634522 4.566971 8.416458 16.357725 33.126165 74.714459
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 1.515994 2.633469 4.653563 8.776132 17.529577 36.649280 86.101664
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 1.442111 2.540991 4.561667 8.768681 17.918182 38.477189 93.570634
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 1.365978 2.438741 4.442893 8.694006 18.149488 39.971057 100.450583
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 1.244613 2.242985 4.129356 8.184388 17.350601 38.916679 100.170026
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 1.195449 2.182433 4.076662 8.224705 17.814651 40.995777 109.150037
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 1.174957 2.175975 4.130763 8.500766 18.862084 44.683060 123.640568
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 1.142933 2.144406 4.131242 8.657652 19.641893 47.798736 137.116398